Stonehill 
W-L: (13- 7) PR = 78.5049
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
211 H Boston University Patriot ( 8-10, 84.5) 14-21
214 A Holy Cross Patriot ( 7-10, 83.6) 8-18
218 H Rhode Island Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 78.5) 12- 9
221 H Merrimack Metro Atlan ( 6-11, 74.3) 14- 5
225 H Bryant America Eas (10- 7, 83.6) 9-17
304 H New Hampshire America Eas ( 4-12, 75.9) 14- 8
307 A UC Davis Big 12 ( 7- 9, 84.5) 7-19
309 A California ACC ( 6-11, 82.8) 10-17
314 A Le Moyne Northeast (14- 4, 77.0) 9-11
321 H Delaware State Northeast ( 0-17, 59.7) 20- 6
325 H Central Connecticut Northeast ( 1-14, 63.2) 20- 7
328 A Mercyhurst Northeast ( 3-11, 67.2) 23- 8
404 A Fairleigh Dickinson Northeast (10- 8, 72.4) 17-10
408 A Wagner Northeast ( 6- 9, 74.0) 15-13
411 H New Haven Northeast ( 5- 9, 70.1) 21- 7
418 H LIU Northeast (10- 7, 74.9) 14- 7
425 A Howard (DC) Northeast ( 3-13, 67.8) 13- 5
430 N LIU Northeast (10- 7, 74.9) 14- 9
502 A Le Moyne Northeast (14- 4, 77.0) 15- 8
508 A Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 5-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
211 H Boston University 14-21 -7 -5 - -2.33
214 A Holy Cross 8-18 -10 -6 - -3.53
218 H Rhode Island 12- 9 3 1 1.58
221 H Merrimack 14- 5 9 6 + 3.46
225 H Bryant 9-17 -8 -4 -- -4.25
304 H New Hampshire 14- 8 6 4 1.99
307 A UC Davis 7-19 -12 -7 -- -4.62
309 A California 10-17 -7 -6 -1.32
314 A Le Moyne 9-11 -2 0 - -2.09
321 H Delaware State 20- 6 14 20 0.00
325 H Central Connecticut 20- 7 13 17 -1.00
328 A Mercyhurst 23- 8 15 10 ++ 4.03
404 A Fairleigh Dickinson 17-10 7 5 + 2.26
408 A Wagner 15-13 2 3 -1.18
411 H New Haven 21- 7 14 10 ++ 4.21
418 H LIU 14- 7 7 5 + 2.05
425 A Howard (DC) 13- 5 8 9 -1.37
430 N LIU 14- 9 5 4 1.42
502 A Le Moyne 15- 8 7 0 +++ 6.91
508 A Stony Brook 5-19 -14 -17 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 H Bryant 9-17 -8 -4 -- -4.25
307 A UC Davis 7-19 -12 -7 -- -4.62
211 H Boston University 14-21 -7 -5 - -2.33
214 A Holy Cross 8-18 -10 -6 - -3.53
314 A Le Moyne 9-11 -2 0 - -2.09
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
502 A Le Moyne 15- 8 7 0 +++ 6.91
328 A Mercyhurst 23- 8 15 10 ++ 4.03
411 H New Haven 21- 7 14 10 ++ 4.21
221 H Merrimack 14- 5 9 6 + 3.46
404 A Fairleigh Dickinson 17-10 7 5 + 2.26
418 H LIU 14- 7 7 5 + 2.05
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Boston Univers ( 8-10, 84.5) 14-21 -15.36 24.81 -1.37 0.87 -7.24
3 A Holy Cross ( 7-10, 83.6) 8-18 -16.29 23.88 1.37 0.87 -6.46
3 H Rhode Island ( 6-10, 78.5) 12- 9 -21.45 18.72 -1.37 0.87 30.06
3 H Merrimack ( 6-11, 74.3) 14- 5 -25.56 14.60 -1.37 0.87 22.93
3 H Bryant (10- 7, 83.6) 9-17 -16.28 23.89 -1.37 0.87 -7.64
3 H New Hampshire ( 4-12, 75.9) 14- 8 -24.04 16.13 -1.37 0.87 25.57
3 A UC Davis ( 7- 9, 84.5) 7-19 -15.38 24.79 1.37 0.87 -6.07
3 A California ( 6-11, 82.8) 10-17 -17.08 23.08 1.37 0.87 -6.81
3 A Le Moyne (14- 4, 77.0) 9-11 -22.86 17.31 1.37 0.87 -9.31
3 H Delaware State ( 0-17, 59.7) 20- 6 -40.17 1.00 -1.37 0.87 -0.64
3 H Central Connec ( 1-14, 63.2) 20- 7 -36.68 3.49 -1.37 0.87 3.67
3 A Mercyhurst ( 3-11, 67.2) 23- 8 -32.73 7.44 1.37 0.87 15.26
3 A Fairleigh Dick (10- 8, 72.4) 17-10 -27.50 12.67 1.37 0.87 24.32
3 A Wagner ( 6- 9, 74.0) 15-13 -25.95 14.22 1.37 0.87 27.00
3 H New Haven ( 5- 9, 70.1) 21- 7 -29.81 10.35 -1.37 0.87 15.57
3 H LIU (10- 7, 74.9) 14- 7 -24.98 15.19 -1.37 0.87 23.94
3 A Howard (DC) ( 3-13, 67.8) 13- 5 -32.13 8.03 1.37 0.87 16.29
3 N LIU (10- 7, 74.9) 14- 9 -24.98 15.19 -0.00 0.87 26.31
3 A Le Moyne (14- 4, 77.0) 15- 8 -22.86 17.31 1.37 0.87 32.36
3 A Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 5-19 -6.19 33.98 1.37 0.87 -2.09
------
217.02
|
winning pts = 262.6382 losing points = -45.6166
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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